Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.059417 0.064278 0.069187 0.074508 0.080104 0.085808 0.092055
2025-04-20 0.051784 0.058810 0.066134 0.074311 0.083160 0.092422 0.102825
2025-04-27 0.046462 0.055101 0.064360 0.074966 0.086719 0.099290 0.113698
2025-05-04 0.042746 0.052706 0.063650 0.076466 0.090958 0.106743 0.125134
2025-05-11 0.040209 0.051343 0.063848 0.078776 0.095953 0.114947 0.137385
2025-05-18 0.035250 0.046787 0.060061 0.076239 0.095197 0.116495 0.142013
2025-05-25 0.032099 0.044119 0.058251 0.075787 0.096663 0.120434 0.149253
2025-06-01 0.029356 0.041738 0.056598 0.075356 0.098016 0.124137 0.156149
2025-06-08 0.028240 0.041281 0.057198 0.077565 0.102455 0.131424 0.167223
2025-06-15 0.026871 0.040396 0.057181 0.078953 0.105859 0.137469 0.176844
2025-06-22 0.025391 0.039263 0.056769 0.079779 0.108529 0.142610 0.185391
2025-06-29 0.023727 0.037779 0.055820 0.079854 0.110218 0.146534 0.192466
2025-07-06 0.022846 0.037341 0.056236 0.081706 0.114193 0.153347 0.203188
2025-07-13 0.021003 0.035470 0.054689 0.080972 0.114884 0.156135 0.209050
2025-07-20 0.019742 0.034339 0.054062 0.081379 0.116982 0.160637 0.217007
2025-07-27 0.018952 0.033833 0.054236 0.082807 0.120367 0.166731 0.226933
2025-08-03 0.018542 0.033853 0.055112 0.085159 0.124945 0.174337 0.238767
2025-08-10 0.016469 0.031269 0.052273 0.082434 0.122863 0.173529 0.240132
2025-08-17 0.015266 0.029932 0.051120 0.081931 0.123634 0.176285 0.245915
2025-08-24 0.014162 0.028681 0.050029 0.081463 0.124409 0.179021 0.251660
2025-08-31 0.013942 0.028824 0.050950 0.083785 0.128909 0.186545 0.263477
2025-09-07 0.013492 0.028564 0.051261 0.085244 0.132253 0.192594 0.273458
2025-09-14 0.012908 0.028049 0.051168 0.086112 0.134793 0.197610 0.282144